Hopefully there’s enough pre Ayatollah people still alive that know how prosperous a free Iran can be and they can convince the younger generation that it would be worth fighting for.It is hard to fight with rocks against folks armed with automatic weapons and armored personnel carriers. They tried and 35K died.
I don’t have answers though.
Even cooler clip of a pilot or weapons officer being picked up by civilian Kuwaitis. Tough young woman. Leaving a jet aircraft by ejection seat is a tough ride.Regarding the US plane shutdown. Here is a video of it going down and pilot safely landing.
It is hard to fight with rocks against folks armed with automatic weapons and armored personnel carriers. They tried and 35K died.
I don’t have answers though.
If a people are not willing to live under an oppressive and murderous regime, they will fight with whatever they have, or whatever they can build, buy or steal. Throughout history, there have been hundreds of groups that fought against oppressive Governments, or invading armies.It is hard to fight with rocks against folks armed with automatic weapons and armored personnel carriers. They tried and 35K died.
I don’t have answers though.
Even cooler clip of a pilot or weapons officer being picked up by civilian Kuwaitis. Tough young woman. Leaving a jet aircraft by ejection seat is a tough ride.
I have no insider information, but were I to place a bet on the a likely counter revolutionary organization with the means to act, it would be the Iranian Army. They have 350-400,000 men under arms and many have chaffed under the Revolutionary Guard. Do enough damage to the regime and the Guard and the right colonel or general might act. That would not represent the birth of a Jeffersonian democracy, but it could be a pragmatic regime without the revolutionary religious fervor of the current one.If a people are not willing to live under an oppressive and murderous regime, they will fight with whatever they have, or whatever they can build, buy or steal. Throughout history, there have been hundreds of groups that fought against oppressive Governments, or invading armies.
Iran is no more or less brutal than any other in dealing with groups that threaten it, yet there has been almost zero armed resistance in the last 47 years. There is no shortage of cheap weapons in that part of the World, and smuggling through the mountains and deserts isn't new to the region, yet there is no armed resistance group, inside or outside of Iran that anyone can name.
Every key intelligence indicator tells me they are waiting for someone else to come in and do the job, which is exactly why no outside force should lift a finger to liberate them.
If I'm wrong, I'll buy Africa Hunting hat's for everybody at the SCI dinner next year!
I have no insider information, but were I to place a bet on the a likely counter revolutionary organization with the means to act, it would be the Iranian Army. They have 350-400,000 men under arms and many have chaffed under the Revolutionary Guard. Do enough damage to the regime and the Guard and the right colonel or general might act. That would not represent the birth of a Jeffersonian democracy, but it could be a pragmatic regime without the revolutionary religious fervor of the current one.
It wouldn't be hard with a unarmed populous and armed men dedicated to the governments dictates.Honestly this is why I find it hard to believe the Iranian government has killed 50k (even 30k for that matter) protestors in the last 2-3 months of protests....
I'm supposed to believe more civilians have been gunned down in Tehran by Iranian police and IRGC than military deaths at Guadalcanal? And no Iranian military commanders have taken control of the country? Seems unlikely.
If a people are not willing to live under an oppressive and murderous regime, they will fight with whatever they have, or whatever they can build, buy or steal. Throughout history, there have been hundreds of groups that fought against oppressive Governments, or invading armies.
Iran is no more or less brutal than any other in dealing with groups that threaten it, yet there has been almost zero armed resistance in the last 47 years. There is no shortage of cheap weapons in that part of the World, and smuggling through the mountains and deserts isn't new to the region, yet there is no armed resistance group, inside or outside of Iran that anyone can name.
Every key intelligence indicator tells me they are waiting for someone else to come in and do the job, which is exactly why no outside force should lift a finger to liberate them.
If I'm wrong, I'll buy Africa Hunting hat's for everybody at the SCI dinner next year!
I saw an interview with some Iran official on BBC tv news last night who said there were US troops in the hotel! That’s why it was hit. To other hits answer that oh those were CIA headquarters in the area.The fact they shot a missile into a hotel in Dubai is still blowing my mind. I am not saying the UAE are the cleanest sheet in the drawer. They are not one you want to be doing that to.
And that will be exactly what Trump says when the bombing campaign ends in 3-4 weeks...
"we gave them the chance to re-take their nation... they apparently dont want it bad enough to participate.... we did accomplish all of our objectives though... their primary source of income, oil, has been set back for years.. its going to take a few billion dollars of Chinese investment and at least 3-5 years of digging out from under the rubble before Beijing gets another barrel of Iranian oil... and without money, Iran doesnt have much to offer the Houthis, Hamas, or Hezbollah.. we wont be hearing much from them for a while.. and... Irans missile stockpiles and drone stockpiles are all either underneath a mountain of rubble.. or have been expended.. theyre really only a threat to their own people now... and their own people dont seem to want permanent change bad enough.. so... we're out..."