Politics

[spike.t]

A Battle for the Strait of Hormuz Might Be Coming Soon: That Means Iran's 'Mosquito' Submarines vs. the U.S. Navy - 19FortyFive https://share.google/ot9nXaiUodUg9smck

 

[Pondoro]

I strongly suggest you people fill up your cars with fuel..and perhaps hoard some..

The crude price will soar on monday.. God knows for how long.. Tankers are now piling up at both sides of Hormuz..

 

[Betterinthebush]

I strongly suggest you people fill up your cars with fuel..and perhaps hoard some..

The crude price will soar on monday.. God knows for how long.. Tankers are now piling up at both sides of Hormuz..

I strongly suggest that anyone that hasn’t booked their flights to Africa should get hot on that task as well for the same reasons.

 

[mark-hunter]

I strongly suggest you people fill up your cars with fuel..and perhaps hoard some..

I did it this morning!

 

[mark-hunter]

Following airports are closed in the region:
Dubai
Abu Dhabi
Doha
Kuwait

Hormuz strait, commercial shipping halted.

Ministry of foreign affairs of my country advises not to travel to the region. I work on oil rig there.
Luckily, presently at home.

With all the variables, this may severely affect planning for my next safari for this year.

 

[spike.t]

 

[spike.t]

 

[375 Ruger Fan]

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-jumps-10-iran-conflict-124419434.html

 

[Sideshow]

Wasn't much of an explosion. Probably a Shahad drone. Not sure your point. I would love to see the numbers, but counting drones, I would guess they have flung several hundred projectiles in what has been thus far a fruitless temper tantrum that has only served to unite the Gulf States against them. Perhaps we'll know in the future, but if Ukraine is any indicator, I would wager a meaningful sum over 90% have been successfully intercepted without collateral damage.

Took this screen shot just before it hit looks like a missel to me minus the tail end.

 

[Sideshow]

It’s called multi tasking pal. No reason your personal grudge can’t also feed the village.

Think of it like shooting an elephant you have a personal beef with.

Dam you had to go and do it Didn’t you!!!

Bring up the Elephant in the room

 

[skydiver386]

Without some means of coercive power, such as firearms, or a Militia group composed of Iranian people fighting on their behalf, the people of Iran have no physical means to overthrow the Government in Tehran.

Iran was taken hostage by a minority of violent militia's, many if not most of them composed of non Farsi speaking foreigners. This is how the leadership in Tehran has held power over the people of Iran since 1979.

There is a shadow Government in the form of Prince Reza Pahlavi, but so far not one single source has identified any armed group of Iranians that will take the fight to the Militia's composed of Zealots that have terrorized Iran for the last 47 years.

 

[WAB]

I strongly suggest that anyone that hasn’t booked their flights to Africa should get hot on that task as well for the same reasons.

Honestly, it doesn’t even need to be a real disruption, the market is not rational or efficient in the short term. In the ‘80’s I was fixing the fifth day on a VLCC of crude out of the gulf headed to our refinery. (VLCC’s cargo value are fixed on five set days based on market postings during the actual voyage). The day after I had set the final pricing an Iranian gunboat attacked a US warship in the straight. One of our sailors made short work of them with a deck gun. There was no real threat of physical disruption, but crude went through the roof. I looked like a genius, but in all honesty I was just lucky.

 

[Red Leg]

Took this screen shot just before it hit looks like a missel to me minus the tail end. View attachment 749713

I now agree. Still a fairly low order explosion for a ballistic missile. The range is so close across the Gulf, the Iranians may be attempting to launch battlefield missiles at some of the Gulf targets. That does complicate the air defense equation because the Patriot stockpile will dwindle quickly on such relatively low threat targets.

 

[Pheroze]

Without some means of coercive power, such as firearms, or a Militia group composed of Iranian people fighting on their behalf, the people of Iran have no physical means to overthrow the Government in Tehran.

Iran was taken hostage by a minority of violent militia's, many if not most of them composed of non Farsi speaking foreigners. This is how the leadership in Tehran has held power over the people of Iran since 1979.

There is a shadow Government in the form of Prince Reza Pahlavi, but so far not one single source has identified any armed group of Iranians that will take the fight to the Militia's composed of Zealots that have terrorized Iran for the last 47 years.

Perhaps the Iranian goodwill outreach to their neighbours will inspire some to pop over for a visit with ground troops? If so, that could also complicate getting the Persians back out from under the Arab control?

 

[spike.t]

I’m mostly interested in the impact of Chinas shrinking oil supply… assuming the US or Israel hammers the oil infrastructure and ports to the point of shutdown… between losing the Iran supply and the Venezuela supply… things might get a bit interesting in Beijing soon.

 

[fourfive8]

China has been the elephant in the room for years and certainly the last four. Too many shiny, distracting objects for many, especially those with no memory past the latest MSM headline.

 

[JimP]

I strongly suggest that anyone that hasn’t booked their flights to Africa should get hot on that task as well for the same reasons.

All you are going to save is a few bucks, now if you have a thousand gallon tank in your vehicle or at home it may be prudent to get it filled. All people are going to do that panic and fill up today (Sunday) is to create long long lines.

Now if you are a airline or large consumer of fuel then getting your long term contract renewed at a lower price would be beneficial instead of waiting if you are inside that window. From what I understand most airlines sign a long term contract on their fuel instead of paying the price for the day.

 

[Tanks]

Possible next guy.

In Khamenei's absence, pragmatist Larijani emerges as power broker in Iran — Reuters

Veteran Iranian politician Ali Larijani, who said on Sunday a temporary leadership council would be set up after an air strike killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, reemerged last year as one of the most powerful figures in the security hierarchy.

apple.news

 

[Red Leg]

Possible next guy.

In Khamenei's absence, pragmatist Larijani emerges as power broker in Iran — Reuters

Veteran Iranian politician Ali Larijani, who said on Sunday a temporary leadership council would be set up after an air strike killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, reemerged last year as one of the most powerful figures in the security hierarchy.

apple.news

I love Reuters' ragmatist" label. He was at the forefront of gunning down protesters and the draconian death sentences applied to many after the fact. Rather like calling Reinhard Heydrich a pragmatist.

 

[Tanks]

Yeah, kinda misleading unless one reads the article and realizes that he is a "pragmatist" in his relationship with various factions within the power elites of Iran.