Africa...when will you be priced out??

702 people attended last month's SCI banquet near Pittsburgh, PA. 27 youth hunters were each given a .22 rifle, outstanding support of our young people! Certainly seems like a lot of interest in hunting if you ask me!!
That is very encouraging to hear I have to admit I forgot that DSC and SCI has multiple shows and events. So that is very good to hear
 
Mr. Deewayne2003 - I do not in any way mean to be rude, but I disagree with you.

Firstly, you are not comparing like with like (as you admit). Kenya was closed to hunting in 1977 (when Madam Kenyatta's work was done) and, as you say, rhino and elephant are off the menu nowadays. These are the supply constraints.

At the same time, the demand has increased. As an example, Britain's wartime exchange controls, imposed in 1939, were removed by (the great) Mrs. Thatcher in 1979. Slowly, Britons could (re)start safari hunting after 40 years of de facto prohibition. (European countries gradually removed their controls during the 1980s.) Here was a new and untapped market for canny South African boers of marginal land!

From my own experience, about 5 years ago I compared the cost of taking a day's driven pheasant shooting in Kent (200 birds) with the cost of a two week safari in South Africa. The cost was broadly similar, including air fares, at around £8,000/ $11,000.

Of course, I am not swanning around Africa like Meryl Streep: I am in a game lodge and taking my sport from the prix fixe and not a la carte. As long as you stick to biltongbeest and boereworsbeest and do not get tempted towards the kudu or buffalo options on the menu, it is quite possible come away with change from £10,000/ $13,500: I do it every year.

From what I can see, the South African game lodges are catering to a much more mass market experience. I will agree with you that at the very top end of the market a traditional safari is much more expensive; but at the lower end of the market it is much more affordable. And this is demonstrated by the large number of sport hunters transiting Johannesburg every year.

Returning to Mr. Shaaka, the OP, he, I suspect, is caught somewhere in the middle. His options are to pay more to maintain his existing standard of hunting or to come and join the hoi polloi like me. Although he will curse me for saying so, he is the victim of the growth of the popularity of safari hunting. Fuelled, incidentally, by sites like this one.

Of course, in another 20 years or so we will all be priced out by hordes of Chinese hunters. That is why I urge all you Americans to vote for the great President Trump, who sees the threat clearly.
I agree wholeheartedly with the Chinese threat in Africa as well as the mass market SA hunts that are more affordable with airfare & tips both inclusive.

Especially when compared to African species hunts on Texas ranches; but there is our separation. Admittedly I’ve had long absence from bird shooting of any kind but I am in fact concentrating on the more expensive dangerous game hunts.

I can appreciate the SA plains game hunts and may do one some day, but for the near future I’m going to hunt dangerous game while I’m physically able.

So yeah 25% increase in 3 years is concerning; but I’m also predicting a decline in demand coming in the next decade.

So I’ll probably do a third OZ hunt before my third Africa trip for leopard + whatever else.
 
I agree wholeheartedly with the Chinese threat in Africa as well as the mass market SA hunts that are more affordable with airfare & tips both inclusive.

Especially when compared to African species hunts on Texas ranches; but there is our separation. Admittedly I’ve had long absence from bird shooting of any kind but I am in fact concentrating on the more expensive dangerous game hunts.

I can appreciate the SA plains game hunts and may do one some day, but for the near future I’m going to hunt dangerous game while I’m physically able.

So yeah 25% increase in 3 years is concerning; but I’m also predicting a decline in demand coming in the next decade.

So I’ll probably do a third OZ hunt before my third Africa trip for leopard + whatever else.
What’s the next Aussie trip for?
 
I’m glad you confirmed what I’ve been thinking about sheep and western hunting. I look at the odds and it just makes little sense to me. I may just start taking to to hunt sheep around the world Barbary sheep looks to be very affordable in SA and seems like a fun hunt. I’ll probably just scratch them off the list. I seen a whole herd of them on 70 a few years ago in Colorado I believe the town was silverton.. I considered letting Jesus take the wheel and me getting my ram with a truck lol.
We’re probably a similar age, since like @375Fox I’m one of those guys under 40 walking around DSC or SCI. It all depends what your goals are and when you started playing the game. The biggest issue is the rules of the game can change at anytime based on what the state wants to do, so you’re rolling the device your plans and the math works in your favor.

If you’re a non resident and didn’t start playing the game as a teenager, you’re going to be hard pressed to draw the top end tags unless you get lucky and beat the sub 1% odds for a random tag. Barring Sheep/Moose/Mountain Goat you could create a draw strategy to start now and be hunting in a few years. It just depends on how many states you want to apply in and what your annual budget is for applications and point building.
 
We’re probably a similar age, since like @375Fox I’m one of those guys under 40 walking around DSC or SCI. It all depends what your goals are and when you started playing the game. The biggest issue is the rules of the game can change at anytime based on what the state wants to do, so you’re rolling the device your plans and the math works in your favor.

If you’re a non resident and didn’t start playing the game as a teenager, you’re going to be hard pressed to draw the top end tags unless you get lucky and beat the sub 1% odds for a random tag. Barring Sheep/Moose/Mountain Goat you could create a draw strategy to start now and be hunting in a few years. It just depends on how many states you want to apply in and what your annual budget is for applications and point building.
I run points in several states for different animals. I’ve considering doing three-five western states in a rotation to chase elk but I may just go to Africa every other year at this point and hit something in Europe and here on the in between years. My buddy who is the game manager at the place I would shoot at used to go annually to Idaho I believe hunt unit 10a, 8,8a and 11 and he’d fly into Spokane wa with a buddy then drive across rent four wheelers never got big elk but they’d each get one I think even Idaho did away with the otc tags which sucks. Idaho was a target state because they have a program that makes disabled vets tags ridiculously cheap. I’m not a DV but my two buddies that would hunt it are and that’s a nice perk to get them to go lol. Colorado ended there otc non resident archery tags as well
 
I run points in several states for different animals. I’ve considering doing three-five western states in a rotation to chase elk but I may just go to Africa every other year at this point and hit something in Europe and here on the in between years. My buddy who is the game manager at the place I would shoot at used to go annually to Idaho I believe hunt unit 10a, 8,8a and 11 and he’d fly into Spokane wa with a buddy then drive across rent four wheelers never got big elk but they’d each get one I think even Idaho did away with the otc tags which sucks. Idaho was a target state because they have a program that makes disabled vets tags ridiculously cheap. I’m not a DV but my two buddies that would hunt it are and that’s a nice perk to get them to go lol. Colorado ended there otc non resident archery tags as well
I’ve hunted Idaho 5 or 6 times because of their DV license and tags. DV Elk/Deer tags have never been OTC there’s a limited number by state statues for non residents. Even with the new system it’s still a great state to apply in. If you go guided, Idaho still has guaranteed outfitter tags that circumvent the draw.

Colorado did end the non res archery OTC tags but there are still several decent units that can be drawn with no or a very low number of points. A 3-5 state rotation of short/medium draw odds for Elk/Deer/Antelope isn’t a bad plan
 
.

Africa ! I can honestly remember when you could shoot warthog for ¨free¨! The farmers didn't want them messing up the fences & told you to shoot every warthog you saw. Pests! Impala rams on the game farms were R 300,- (USD 28,- then). Airplanes landing at OR Tambo were full of tourists & not hunters. Wow has that all changed! Travel has become so easy.

Today gemsbok north of USD 1.000,-, impala USD 750,- plus & lets no even talk about kudu & waterbuck! Baboon & jackal carry prices - in days gone by they were vermin & shot on sight for free!!

Price have skyrocketed over the past decade but I do not feel priced out in any way. I do however spend more time looking & shopping around, especially since I stopped working.

Two years ago my wife & I did a self drive two weeks RSA trip - high volume pigeon & dove near Joburg, two days fly fishing at Sterkies, some trout fishing on the Lesotho borders, cull plains game - two zebra, a wildi & a couple of warthog up at Pongola. We had a blast! The whole trip came in at under USD 7.500,-. Yes, we have a town house & Landy in Joburg, so that makes it easier for sure, but anyone can rent a bakkie.

In April '27, I am planning a non trophy ele bull in Zim at under USD 20.000,-. Swings & roundabouts.

Quality free range buff hunts have also skyrocketed, 10 days in a great area 1:1 with a good outfitter & you will see little change from USD 30.000,- when the buff is hanging on your wall or in the corner on the pedestal mount.

I am not worried about my hunting, heck we have hunted so much! What I am concerned about is where the industry (Africa in particular) will be in 20 years from now - USD 50.000,- for a buff, USD 15.000,- for a kudu ?? Where will ele & the exotics - bongo, sitatunga & the like - be priced?

One thing is for sure, I don't want to sit there one day, staring out of a window, wishing I had ........



.
 
Agree 100%
What comes up, must come down. But unfortunately if the prices come down across the board to fast on everything there will be a whole new set of problems lol! Deflation will always be worse than inflation! But maybe you will get that once in a lifetime hunt in!
 
Saying Africa is a better bargain than guided hunts in the USA doesn’t negate the fact that hunting Africa is getting to the point where those of us of normal means have to reach to make it happen.
 
Can't speak for anyone else but for pg cull hunts, I'll be aged out before I'm priced out.
 
Saying South Africa is a better bargain than guided hunts in the USA doesn’t negate the fact that hunting Africa is getting to the point where those of us of normal means have to reach to make it happen.
Fixed it for you. PG hunting in RSA is within the budget of every guy of "normal means" that has some discretionary income.
 
Fixed it for you. PG hunting in RSA is within the budget of every guy of "normal means" that has some discretionary income.
That really is the truth of it isn’t it. Pg hunting is ridiculously cheap compared to Dg and cull hunting if you ask several outfitters is crazy cheap. We have a sponser that does a cull hunting of like 30 animals for 10k. They may not be exactly what you want to hunt t but how do you beat that price.
 
Compared to say a guided Colorado Bull Elk hunt a RSA guided PG hunt for say six of the common game animals is a bargain but it is not cheap and it is getting more expensive.

We did a Texas Nilgai hunt this past winter. This was a guided hunt for a bull Nilgai with room and board included for three days and two nights and included unlimited hog and coyote hunting (a bonus). It was a great trip and we call scored nice Blue Bulls but it was $5k ea paid in advance with zero guarantee that we would even see one, let alone have a shot at one. Price a Kodiak bear hunt or an Alaskan bull Moose hunt with bush pilot flights in and out of camp. Whooee.

I am not priced out of Africa yet but.... Getting there fast.
 
I quit putting in for Western State Preference Points years ago with the exception of Mule Deer and Elk in WY
The “Point Creep” even 7-10 years ago made it obvious you could forget about a Bighorn or Moose Tag anywhere based on points (and my age then 45 already)
Hell, I have had Custer State Park Bison points since they started…I have max points and can’t get drawn. When it began I should have been a lock but they just change the rules in most states…
You aren’t the front of the line you waited in… you just have a slightly better chance

Basically, pay the money for Private if you can. Or…hunt more general areas or species. The big Trophy Units are nearly unattainable
 
I think a lot about the impact of demographics on economics.

The baby boomer generation is starting to age out of safaris. They’re a massive generation in terms of both numbers and wealth. They also grew up on Hemingway and Ruark etc.

Gen X is a tiny generation in terms of numbers. They are hitting the prime years when the can afford safaris. Their kids are out of the house or nearly so and they’re in peak years for earning and should have achieved a level of savings. But again they are a tiny generation. They also didn’t grow up with as much of the safari culture. Africa was largely a continent of conflict on their formative years. And not as many of them hunt in general.

That’s a long way of saying I wonder if Safari pricing will flatten in the next 15 years. The prices are high because the market accepts it. It’s impossible to predict what will happen but there is certainly a scenario where price growth slows.
I'm Gen X (61 this year) and God I hope your right about the prices flattening out. I started hunting Africa in 2001, you could still do a 7 day buff hunt in Tanzania/Selous for about $8500 with TF included..... now 25 years and 8 safaris later , those days are long gone. RSA/Namibia still offer reasonable hunts...... but if you get into the Zim, Zambia, Moz, Tanz. areas.... prices jump up big time.
 
Good thread Shakka, I have enjoyed reading everyone’s responses. I don’t think that I will be priced out, but prices might change what I get to hunt in Africa. For example a 10 day buff hunt in Zim is currently about 18k( daily rate and trophy fee). I am looking to go back in 2028 for a third Safari. If that same hunt jumps up to 23k in 2028 then I might have to look more at a PG type hunt in Nambia as compared to buff hunt on a wilderness area.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
69,245
Messages
1,543,136
Members
160,546
Latest member
BobbieRehk
 

 

 

Latest profile posts

curt672 wrote on WoodencrossIII's profile.
just making sure my message went threw
30-06Ken wrote on ftothfadd's profile.
I'll take the Vortex scope cover you have listed in the Pay it Forward thread.

Ken [redacted]
Scott CWO wrote on mark-hunter's profile.
Hi Mark. My email is [redacted]
Selling real estate in dchum’s head
getting some work done in-between hunts!

 
Top