Politics

[Russ16]

I don't know, but Ive heard leftist opinions, and. FOX poll that the Dems could take 237 seats? I've also heard Mike Johnson saying that the Republicans will easily prevail based on the campaign energy, and a Democrat party warchest shortfall.
Each party is assuring it's base that they will win.
I've also heard that many polls have been under sampling Republicans.
Historically, the opposing party usually wins the midterms.
Will Trump's promise of $5k turn the tides?
The other elephant in the Democrat room is the DSA, and moderate Democrats and independents shying away from the growing socialist factions
What positive platform are the Democrats running on besides the usual "Get Trump" narrative?
I will admit that Trump did us no favors with an Iranian conflict, and high fuel costs in an election year.

I'm remaining cautiously optimistic.

Dems will have 228-230 seats with the possibility of getting a bit over that if a few races break there way.

Senate is likely 50-50 or 51-49 one way or the other. Basically a coin flip.

But that doesn’t tell the whole story. With the states that are up this year republicans should have been able to maintain or even gain a seat. That would have put them in laity in to control the senate until 2030 most likely. Instead the 2028 map is going to be tough. If they lose the senate this year they may not get it back until 2032.

 

[barryk]

Well, somtimes it may not be cool but is (or was) Sierra Hotel!

When I was promoted from Gunnery Sergeant to Warrant Officer-1 in the US Marine Corps, I did not have receive a commission. At that time before the US (Congressional) Warrant Officer Management Act of 1991, USMC WO-1's were appointed by the Secratary of the Navy. Note, prior to 1991, all US Army Warrant Officers were not commissioned. The WO Management Act made all services commision their Warrants starting at WO-1. It also established the rank of CWO-5.

Lacking a commision never stood in my way as I practiced Lead, Follow, or Get out of my way! On occasion I interfaced with unrestricted (regular) US Navy officers including SEALS, and US Army Special Forces Sergeant Majors and Royal Marine Color Sergeants. Those senior enlisted saluted and respectfully addressed me as sir. Frankly, the respect from those senior enlisted meant more than that from senior officers.

I received my commision when I was promoted to Chief Warrant Officer-2. That's when I became cool

I think all Marines held/hold a special respect for the Warrant Officers.

 

[Tanks]

The other elephant in the Democrat room is the DSA, and moderate Democrats and independents shying away from the growing socialist factions

As far as the DSA house candidates go, they are running in solid blue districts. A glass with a "D" on it would win.

 

[SaintPanzer]

I think all Marines held/hold a special respect for the Warrant Officers.

I mean, there is a reason I named my dog "Gunner".

 

[Tbitty]

It is amazing how hard the MAGA faithful will try to defend this lady.

It is laughable when you liberals have to reach shallow into your playbooks to call someone MAGA, Nazi, Racist, bigots, white-priviledged, etc., etc. Who provides you ample evidence that counters your position, then shift goalposts to try and renegotiate your position. And calling @mdwest MAGA faithful is like calling AOC a moderate. Read his posts- he is consistently critical of Trump when he needs to be or disagrees with him. But yeah, resort to attempting insults when reality doesn't match your opinion.

 

[deewayne2003]

As far as the DSA house candidates go, they are running in solid blue districts. A glass with a "D" on it would win.

Very true, but moderate and especially old line Democrats are seeing the DSA antics from their homes outside those areas and saying NOPE!

 

[deewayne2003]

Well, the live stream is off….

I have mixed feelings about this, I like to think we live in a country where we don’t have to display such things.

On the other hand I think too many people are living in a consequence free environment until it’s too late.

 

[Brent in Az]

As far as the DSA house candidates go, they are running in solid blue districts. A glass with a "D" on it would win.

You also have to consider the Chameleon's like Talarico, who claims to be a capitalist, but his progressive policies align with Democratic socialism. A total bamboozler.
The weak link in that type of race, is Paxton. Certainly not the best weapon for the Republicans in Texas.

 

[deewayne2003]

Glimmer of hope in the latest shooting, Good Samaritan saw 16yo enter school with rifle, followed him in and killed him with his handgun cops arrive and confirm he’s dead and Good Samaritan is released.

 

[Pondoro]

Suffice to say that Lindsey Graham must be rotating in his grave..

 

[deewayne2003]

View attachment 800290

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Suffice to say that Lindsey Graham must be rotating in his grave..

Isn’t this for the lighter politics and humor?….. you know like when Trump told Germany that buying gas from Russia was stupid and they snickered and laughed.

I wonder what was so funny about giving Russia billions of euros before and during the war while the German army was so poorly equipped they showed up to military exercises with wooden poles instead of guns.

German Soldiers Used Broomsticks Instead of Guns During NATO Exercise

From Justin Huggler, Telegraph: German soldiers used broomsticks painted black instead of guns during a joint Nato exercise last year due to severe equipment shortages, it has emerged. The incident took place during exercises for Nato’s rapid response force, formed in reaction to the Ukraine...

www.atlanticcouncil.org

 

[Russ16]

I don't know, but Ive heard leftist opinions, and. FOX poll that the Dems could take 237 seats? I've also heard Mike Johnson saying that the Republicans will easily prevail based on the campaign energy, and a Democrat party warchest shortfall.
Each party is assuring it's base that they will win.
I've also heard that many polls have been under sampling Republicans.
Historically, the opposing party usually wins the midterms.
Will Trump's promise of $5k turn the tides?
The other elephant in the Democrat room is the DSA, and moderate Democrats and independents shying away from the growing socialist factions
What positive platform are the Democrats running on besides the usual "Get Trump" narrative?
I will admit that Trump did us no favors with an Iranian conflict, and high fuel costs in an election year.

I'm remaining cautiously optimistic.

The warchest shortfall doesn’t apply to senate hard dollars. The Rs have a decided advantage in soft money but hard dollars still matter and show momentum. This came out today.

 

[Brent in Az]

The warchest shortfall doesn’t apply to senate hard dollars. The Rs have a decided advantage in soft money but hard dollars still matter and show momentum. This came out today.

View attachment 800297View attachment 800297

I don't have knowledge on individual state races and spending. I saw a news report earlier this fall that stated the Republicans had considerably out raised the Dems?
It's hard to determine what to believe these days

 

[Brent in Az]

Sounds like Iran may get pounded again in the near future.

Washington eyeing MOAB deployment against Iran's underground nuclear facilities | Live Updates from Fox News Digital https://share.google/Bax3TpxLEeF6rYemr

 

[Russ16]

I don't have knowledge on individual state races and spending. I saw a news report earlier this fall that stated the Republicans had considerably out raised the Dems?
It's hard to determine what to believe these days

They have outraised them in the super pac space but a lot of that came earlier in the cycle, and 50% of the raise has come from Musk.

Hard dollars through direct contributions to candidates are a good measure of voter intensity and sentiment and the Dems have significantly led that in the last quarter. The trend line is not good.

Now, there aren't that many competitive districts but the map has been expanding to favor Dems. It would be very surprising if the Dems don't have a decent majority in the House next year and not at all surprising if they take a one seat majority in the Senate.

 

[Mekaniks]

Heather Cox Richardson latest….

October 15, 2026

There is an old saying about rats and sinking ships.

heathercoxrichardson.substack.com

 

[Brent in Az]

 

[Tanks]

The weak link in that type of race, is Paxton. Certainly not the best weapon for the Republicans in Texas.

That is on Trump. He felt he had a kindred spirit in Paxton with impeachment, adultery and corruption investigations.

 

[spike.t]

Kelliog on Trump with Ukraine.........

http://youtube.com/post/Ugkxt9afvsBFasMsOOFBd-LhN-ZE6rUuEAY_?si=-uhgk9PsCEm0RVzW

 

[Russ16]

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That's accurate but only on air advertising is only one element of a campaign. Republicans are also over spending because they booked air time late in a lot of markets so rates are higher. In the case of Texas the local inventory is completely bought up so they are buying national spots on sporting events so they are wasting money showing Paxton ads to people outside of Texas just so those ads can also be seen in Texas.

The Republicans will spend more this cycle as they have been in recent years, and to the extent they hold the Senate the spending will be the reason. But recent fundraising certainly favors the Democrats and small dollar donations are a reliable measure of voter momentum. That data point does not look good for Republicans.