Politics

Looks like there is not going to be a long lasting oil bump to help Putin?
 
Theyre going to have to either destroy it or take it if one of Trumps stated missions is going to be accomplished (Iran will never have the ability to make a nuke)...

The challenge is.. the amount of enriched uranium they possess isnt exactly lightweight or easy to move... just under 1000 lbs.. and they cant just throw it in a bunch of sacks and haul it off with helos...

My best guess is they will devise a way to destroy it (which could be very tricky.. you dont just "blow up" enriched uranium).. or render it unobtainable somehow (collapse and entire mountain on top of it.. and then monitor indefinitely... every time they try to start digging it out, they catch a couple of cruise missiles in the chest)..
 
I would be stunned if this were true. Particularly the part where Iran retains 80-90% of the small boats that could lay them. I would have thought that capability would have been an early and important target for CENTCOM. If they still exist, I have to assume it was because the political intent and guidance included limiting damage to port facilities (along with oil facilities) so a new government, should it appear, would not be economically hamstrung.

I am certain neither mine storage depots, docking facilities , nor the small boats themselves would respond well to several dozen 500-1000lb JDAMS.

 
Meanwhile back in Ukraine, I always admire competent indirect fire. In the short clip above a Russian column, apparently preparing for an assault - four years ago these would have been BMP armored fighting vehicles rather than a couple of trucks and a bunch of Chinese ATVs and motorbikes. They seem to have halted probably to sort themselves out before moving to contact. First a Ukrainian drone hits the leftmost truck. The troops run about for a minute or so and begin to regroup just as a HIMARS missile arrives. Judging by the pattern on the ground, this was a GMLRS warhead containing 180,000 tungsten shot about the size of No. 2 buck.

 
Theyre going to have to either destroy it or take it if one of Trumps stated missions is going to be accomplished (Iran will never have the ability to make a nuke)...

The challenge is.. the amount of enriched uranium they possess isnt exactly lightweight or easy to move... just under 1000 lbs.. and they cant just throw it in a bunch of sacks and haul it off with helos...

My best guess is they will devise a way to destroy it (which could be very tricky.. you dont just "blow up" enriched uranium).. or render it unobtainable somehow (collapse and entire mountain on top of it.. and then monitor indefinitely... every time they try to start digging it out, they catch a couple of cruise missiles in the chest)..

A few days ago I read an article(can’t find it now) that said SOF could come in with a handful of nuclear guys that could dilute the 60% down and leave it in place. Presumably under a massive pile of mountain rubble. The operation would take longer than a quick in and out however.
 
Nuclear materials is beyond my realm, but I would think that a special team with experience would be required, special containers, radiation suits, etc.
They aren't going to just waltz in and take it.
Maybe they can use the Kurds to run interference, and keep the Iranian military busy?
 
Maybe they can use the Kurds to run interference, and keep the Iranian military busy?
Small arms and maybe RPGs that Kurds have would be like pissing into the wind. Not to mention the Iranian army dwarfs what the Kurds could put in the field.

Iraqi Kurds are not going to help much to Iranian Kurds militarily, they have their own region in Iraq and have a decent relationship with Turkey as well. They would not want to jeopardize their position in Iraq.
 
Small arms and maybe RPGs that Kurds have would be like pissing into the wind. Not to mention the Iranian army dwarfs what the Kurds could put in the field.

Iraqi Kurds are not going to help much to Iranian Kurds militarily, they have their own region in Iraq and have a decent relationship with Turkey as well. They would not want to jeopardize their position in Iraq.
Iranian Kurdish opposition groups ready but holding back amid regional war | Fox News https://share.google/tqXPZuRbBbv4OZLgP
 

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