Politics

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Here‘s my April 4th 2023 prediction of the 2024 Presidential election.

Biden will seek and win the Democratic nomination. Democrats are better at preventing firebrands from winning their nomination. Bernie Sanders is such a firebrand. Bidden is their man.

Trump will win the Republican nomination. The indictment makes this a near certainty. It’s a case with no chance of a conviction and makes Trump a martyr. Plus, in a 3 person primary (yes I’m counting Desantis as in the race with more candidates almost certainly going to jump in) Trump will have the most votes and capture the nomination.

I fear in a head-to-head race, Biden wins. Too many Republicans have reached the point that they’d rather have 4 more years of Biden and stay home on election night. All Biden must do is keep breathing.

Hope I’m wrong.
 
Sadly @Doug3006 ... I think don't think you're wrong.

If the election were tomorrow, I wouldn't vote. I never thought I'd say that. But that's where I'm at.

I hope you're wrong too, but I fear you're not.
 
Here‘s my April 4th 2023 prediction of the 2024 Presidential election.

Biden will seek and win the Democratic nomination. Democrats are better at preventing firebrands from winning their nomination. Bernie Sanders is such a firebrand. Bidden is their man.

Trump will win the Republican nomination. The indictment makes this a near certainty. It’s a case with no chance of a conviction and makes Trump a martyr. Plus, in a 3 person primary (yes I’m counting Desantis as in the race with more candidates almost certainly going to jump in) Trump will have the most votes and capture the nomination.

I fear in a head-to-head race, Biden wins. Too many Republicans have reached the point that they’d rather have 4 more years of Biden and stay home on election night. All Biden must do is keep breathing.

Hope I’m wrong.
I don’t disagree and it’s quite frustrating. The left is speedily pushing the country into neomarxism. They are not interested in what the Constitution says at all and if they hold all the power they don’t have to either.
The average citizen can’t do squat but vote and so many won’t do that. They point out how this or that candidate doesn’t meet their moral standards or turns the toilet paper the wrong way so they turn their nose up and then bitch about how the other side then runs things after they win. Authoritarianism is quickly rising and it isn’t just the fault of those behind it but also the fault of those who won’t do the only thing they can do…vote.
 
Let's look at our country today and how it was 2+ years ago. Now, Imagine another of the same sh*t for 4 more years. Do you think there will be a president that will be able to overturn the damage 8 years of this crap have done to our country?

“The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.”

I know what communism can do to a country, I saw and lived it when I lived in Nicaragua. I will not sit at home and watch this great country go to sh*t, I will do my part and vote, even if we lose.
 
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I don’t disagree and it’s quite frustrating. The left is speedily pushing the country into neomarxism. They are not interested in what the Constitution says at all and if they hold all the power they don’t have to either.
The average citizen can’t do squat but vote and so many won’t do that. They point out how this or that candidate doesn’t meet their moral standards or turns the toilet paper the wrong way so they turn their nose up and then bitch about how the other side then runs things after they win. Authoritarianism is quickly rising and it isn’t just the fault of those behind it but also the fault of those who won’t do the only thing they can do…vote.


I have said this before, and I am willing to stand by it AND I don't think it's unreasonable: I want the people I vote for - who represent me - to do good things (policy) and do it with a modicum of dignity.

Here's one of the reasons I said I wouldn't vote - and I stand by that too.

If this was still the Donald Trump of 2016, I'd probably be OK with that. Not overjoyed, but OK. I think I'd say the same thing of the Donald Trump of 2020. I did vote for him both of those years.

I don't think he's the same Donald Trump. I think he has gone off the rails with a lot of things. As undignified as he was then, I find him to be much more so now. And as good as he had things (policy wise) during his presidency, I think it's far from a certainty he can get us back there again, in part because of the damage done by the current administration but also because he has alienated so many people of late. For those that think he'll get us back to pre-Biden conditions lickety-split, well, maybe you're right. I just don't happen to agree. I think his head was way too big before; I think it'll be colossal to the point of debilitating in many ways if he gets elected again.

Things can change. I hope they do. I could be wrong. I'd be good with that as well. As it stands right now, I think I'd rather hope for relief in the legislature, and choose to ride out another term with a neutered dotard who doesn't know what day it is versus an egomaniac who seems to be sliding farther and farther down a slope of narcissism.

Your opinion may be quite different; YMMV
 
Sadly @Doug3006 ... I think don't think you're wrong.

If the election were tomorrow, I wouldn't vote. I never thought I'd say that. But that's where I'm at.

I hope you're wrong too, but I fear you're not.
I'd probably hold my nose and vote for Trump. I'd know he'd at least appoint decent judges if the past history is any indication. That was the main reason I voted for him the first time.

Frankly, I think both Biden and Trump are just too damn old. I say that as someone who is now on Medicare. As to Biden, I see the signs of dementia that I saw in my own mother and it makes me wonder just who is the puppetmaster pulling his strings.
 
I don’t disagree and it’s quite frustrating. The left is speedily pushing the country into neomarxism. They are not interested in what the Constitution says at all and if they hold all the power they don’t have to either.
The average citizen can’t do squat but vote and so many won’t do that. They point out how this or that candidate doesn’t meet their moral standards or turns the toilet paper the wrong way so they turn their nose up and then bitch about how the other side then runs things after they win. Authoritarianism is quickly rising and it isn’t just the fault of those behind it but also the fault of those who won’t do the only thing they can do…vote.
Remember the Democrats strategy during the midterms. They threw their backing behind weak Republican candidates, confident that they could beat them in the general election. In nearly every case it worked! They believe that they can beat Trump. So, the Democrats have done the one thing that will drive Republican voters to Trump. They made him a martyr! The case is incredibly weak. But that doesn’t matter if the Democrats are merely trying to get Donald Trump nominated. Whether they‘re right remains to be seen. But I am seeing a pattern here.
 
If was DeSantis, I would be trying to cut a deal with Trump to get him to change his “residency” to NY so he could get the #2 spot. Short of that he should not give up his day job as governor. And yes I know March is a long way away, but the primary is over already.
 
Let's look at our country today and how it was 2+ years ago. Now, Imagine another of the same sh*t for 4 more years. Do you think there will be a president that will be able to overturn the damage 8 years of this crap have done to our country?

“The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.”

I know what communism can do to a country, I saw and lived it when I lived in Nicaragua. I will not sit at home and watch this great country go to sh*t, I will do my part and vote, even if we lose.
I would hate to see Biden win. But I don’t believe our entire system would implode if he does. This country‘s system is exceedingly strong and deep. I believe politics at the state and local level will be just as important in stemming the socialist tide. My home state, Missouri, has bucked every one of these woke, social equity, diversity b.s.movements. I think most states will.
 
I have said this before, and I am willing to stand by it AND I don't think it's unreasonable: I want the people I vote for - who represent me - to do good things (policy) and do it with a modicum of dignity.

Here's one of the reasons I said I wouldn't vote - and I stand by that too.

If this was still the Donald Trump of 2016, I'd probably be OK with that. Not overjoyed, but OK. I think I'd say the same thing of the Donald Trump of 2020. I did vote for him both of those years.

I don't think he's the same Donald Trump. I think he has gone off the rails with a lot of things. As undignified as he was then, I find him to be much more so now. And as good as he had things (policy wise) during his presidency, I think it's far from a certainty he can get us back there again, in part because of the damage done by the current administration but also because he has alienated so many people of late. For those that think he'll get us back to pre-Biden conditions lickety-split, well, maybe you're right. I just don't happen to agree. I think his head was way too big before; I think it'll be colossal to the point of debilitating in many ways if he gets elected again.

Things can change. I hope they do. I could be wrong. I'd be good with that as well. As it stands right now, I think I'd rather hope for relief in the legislature, and choose to ride out another term with a neutered dotard who doesn't know what day it is versus an egomaniac who seems to be sliding farther and farther down a slope of narcissism.

Your opinion may be quite different; YMMV
Honestly, I doubt Trump could be very effective due to being limited to one term and therefore being basically a lame duck from day one. But I won’t vote for more of the same either. Hopefully if he was it he would spend 4 years removing many of the corrupt individuals in places of influence and possibly get the DOJ back to more what they should be.
I don’t think with things like the bill banning TikTok, which can be abused by these types, and a roll out of a CBDC, and the weaponizing of law enforcement and intelligence agencies, that there’ll be any fixing it after 4 more years. But, we may not have anyone different to choose from. Both parties may well have basically the same candidate just spewing different lies.
I told my wife in 2016 that the corrupt establishment wouldn’t let someone like Trump ever happen again. By that I mean someone outside the “club”.
 
Desantis could gain a lot if he plays things smart. But he stumbled out of the gate on this one and I think he realizes that.
Personally I would prefer Desantis. We’ll see if they convict Trump. If so they may have boo booed in their own Easter basket and opened the door for Desantis.
If they don’t then Doug3006 may be right.
But without unity on the right it won’t mean squat.
 
You can blame Biden for this, not the Saudis. Coming into office he referred to and treated the Saudi Government as a "pariah state." His visit there was a diplomatic disaster. Then, he floods the market with our petroleum reserve with immediate adverse effects on Saudi budget planning. To add insult to injury, the administration has refused to begin buying back that oil supply after signaling to OPEC that it would. This is purely a retaliatory action by OPEC - just in time for Americans to notice during the summer vacation period.
 

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