deewayne2003
AH legend
@AlistairI think I did this debate already on a different thread, but I'll give it another go, this time with a personal anecdote as data didn't seem effective last time.
I don't care very much about the 'fancy house' thing, never have, so when I bought my house in 2022, I intentionally chose something pretty small and pretty cheap.
It's a 3 bed, 1.5bath, 1500sqft house in Milwaukee. Built in the 1930's, and in a traditionally 'blue collar / lower middle class' neighborhood with a big Latin American population. Safe, low crime, nice people, close to the office, but not 'fancy' or especially 'desirable'.
It's everything I need what with me living alone, and for my salary it's very affordable.
That's not interesting. But what is interesting, is who I bought it from.
The previous owner was a guy called John C. He'd bought the place in 1984 at the age of 32. I met him when I viewed this place and again at closing. Both times we had a chat about his history with the house and his background. Basic small talk stuff whilst the paperwork got completed.
He worked as a mail carrier for USPS all his life. His wife didn't work.
I expect that buying this house was a real challenge for him back then, and I won't detract from that. Lots of scrimping and saving, lots of sleepless night worrying about money, lots of intentional lifestyle choices. Certainly not much eating out, and no fancy cars.
And yet, in 1984, a mail carrier bought my house on a single salary.
Fast forwards to 2022. I paid $315,000 for the place. In 2025, at least on paper, it's worth $357,000. Still a fair chunk below the median US house price.
A USPS mail carrier, in Milwaukee, is today earning $42,617/yr (https://www.ziprecruiter.com/Salaries/Postal-Carrier-Salary-in-Milwaukee,WI).
After taxes, they take home $2926/month (https://smartasset.com/taxes/wisconsin-paycheck-calculator#axo5RqtmJp).
This house is worth approximately 8.4x annual gross earnings if John were to do the exact same job, and try to buy the exact same house in 2025.
No matter how hard '2025 John' tries, there is no mathematical way he'd be able to buy the place now on that single income. None.
Let's say '2025 John' still scrimped and saved, just as I'm sure he did in 1984. In doing so, he manages to save roughly 80% of his gross annual salary by 32 and get a 10% deposit. Not easy what with needing to pay for food, and rent, and everything, but not impossible with 5-10 years or so of careful budgeting.
However, worth remembering that finding that 10% in 2025 would require more scrimping and saving today than 1984 John would have done to find 30% down... and 1984 John had rent equalling 10% less of his monthly take home than 2025 John does...
Anyhow, now 2025 John has $35,000 and wants to buy a $357,000 house. Okay, what's the mortgage (including house insurance and property tax)?
$2,660.58 a month. https://www.mortgagecalculator.org/
So, 90.9% of his total monthly take home pay. Yeah...
Even if a bank would underwrite that mortgage, it doesn't matter how careful you are in every other aspect of your spending, the math simply does not math.
It leaves $265.42 a month, for everything else.
Utilities, car insurance, you're already underwater. Plus it'd be nice if you could afford to buy some ramen every once in a while, or you know, buy such luxuries as 'a tank of gas'...
Exact same house. Exact same job. Doable, if difficult, in 1984. Not a hope in 2025.
That's why people can't afford a house on a single salary like they used to, and that's why young people bitch and moan.
Fun fact, John told me that the reason that he was selling... is because he couldn't afford the property tax anymore, what with the skyrocketing value of the place.
I believe him. The property tax rate in Milwaukee is 2.03%. I paid nearly $7,000 for that expense last year, and if you're only earning $35,000 a year after taxes, I can see why that's stressful even without a mortgage.
It's the same story with all the houses round here. The older neighbors are all in lower-middle class professions, and most of them are single salary households. Yet the new families moving in, they're all upper-middle class dual income households.
This isn't gentrification. It's Milwaukee, and this neighborhood still isn't a particularly desirable area. Property prices here are still a fair bit below US median values.
It's just the simple fact that these days a 70th percentile, dual income family, is the bare minimum needed to buy pretty much any house comfortably...
What do the USPS carriers of today do? Or the 30 year old 2025 equivalent of all my older neighbors with their respectable, but lower-middle income jobs?
I guess they rent, then they die. Retirement is probably difficult under that paradigm too, at least 1984 John had 30 odd years of no rent to pay, and got a $315k lump sum at 70 or so out of this place.
Still, these lazy young people should just cut back on those $12 Starbucks I guess... that'll solve their conundrum...
How dare you bring facts, reason, logic and real world experience into a boomer rant!

