Politics

Probably not good news for the continuance of NATO. At least in its current form.


Military alliances come and go.. none last forever.. Im not saying its time for NATO to die.. but perhaps its time for a major NATO shake up and reformation.. Once alliances dont serve their original intended purposes, they tend to dissolve rapidly...

Most people dont realize that during the cold war 5 alliances collapsed... The Western Union, an alliance between UK, France, Belgium, Netherlands and Luxembourg went away as all of those countries joined NATO... ANZUS, an alliance between Australia, New Zealand, and the US became partially defunct as NZ obligations were suspended in the mid 80's...The South East Asia Treaty Organization between the US, UK, France, Australia, New Zealand, Pakistan, Thailand, and India was dissolved in the late 70's because the various parties couldnt agree on anything any longer.. The Central Treaty Organization between the UK, Iran, Turkey, and Pakistan dissolved after the Iranian revolution in 1979... and the Warsaw Pact went away with the collapse of the Soviet Union...

Then 4 more have become either defunct or have dissolved post the cold war... The Collective Security Treaty between Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan dissolved and was rebuilt under a new agreement in 2002... the Western European Union dissolved in 2011 because of EU and NATO overlap... The Gulf Corporation Council and Joint Defense Agreement has basically been dormant since 2014 because none of the partners can get along or agree on any decisions.. and the Arab League Joint Defense Pact, while still an alliance on paper no longer operates as any sort of alliance for the same reason the GCC JDA has gone dormant..

I dont think anyone would disagree at this point, whether European, or Canadian, or US, that NATO is in pretty desperate need of a refresh...

The only disagreement would be what that refresh is supposed to look like...

And if that cant be agreed up.. My guess is sooner or later just like all of the other alliances countries have made since the dawn of time.. NATO will also go the way of the do-do bird..
 
There are literally pages and pages of people getting caught and arrested related to false identify, voting twice, etc.

You have proof that it happens, you just dont like the number, and then present an argument in which you have no proof of (i.e. how many citizens will be denied theb right to vote) that is complete speculation.

This is an 80% issue which is super rare in politics today.
Thats not what the SAVE act and the previous discussions on here were about though. They center upon illegal immigrants/non-citizens voting. Not other types of voter fraud. Are you saying that the SAVE act will supposedly prevent all these other types of voter fraud as well?
 
Military alliances come and go.. none last forever.. Im not saying its time for NATO to die.. but perhaps its time for a major NATO shake up and reformation.. Once alliances dont serve their original intended purposes, they tend to dissolve rapidly...

Most people dont realize that during the cold war 5 alliances collapsed... The Western Union, an alliance between UK, France, Belgium, Netherlands and Luxembourg went away as all of those countries joined NATO... ANZUS, an alliance between Australia, New Zealand, and the US became partially defunct as NZ obligations were suspended in the mid 80's...The South East Asia Treaty Organization between the US, UK, France, Australia, New Zealand, Pakistan, Thailand, and India was dissolved in the late 70's because the various parties couldnt agree on anything any longer.. The Central Treaty Organization between the UK, Iran, Turkey, and Pakistan dissolved after the Iranian revolution in 1979... and the Warsaw Pact went away with the collapse of the Soviet Union...

Then 4 more have become either defunct or have dissolved post the cold war... The Collective Security Treaty between Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan dissolved and was rebuilt under a new agreement in 2002... the Western European Union dissolved in 2011 because of EU and NATO overlap... The Gulf Corporation Council and Joint Defense Agreement has basically been dormant since 2014 because none of the partners can get along or agree on any decisions.. and the Arab League Joint Defense Pact, while still an alliance on paper no longer operates as any sort of alliance for the same reason the GCC JDA has gone dormant..

I dont think anyone would disagree at this point, whether European, or Canadian, or US, that NATO is in pretty desperate need of a refresh...

The only disagreement would be what that refresh is supposed to look like...

And if that cant be agreed up.. My guess is sooner or later just like all of the other alliances countries have made since the dawn of time.. NATO will also go the way of the do-do bird..
My recollection is that the raison d'etre of NATO was to contain aggression from the USSR, and maybe to keep a close eye on Germany.

Now the USSR is no longer called the USSR but those folks are still pretty aggressive and still need some serious containing.

Personally I think Putin would be dancing a jig to see NATO come apart in some way.

What kind of refresh are you suggesting might work? I was pleased Trump got the countries to ante up a bunch more money for defence, but I think suggesting that NATO, as a group should have responsibilities in the Middle East would be some mission creep of epic proportions, and unsellable across Europe.

Other than the underfunding problem, until MAGA took a dislike to it, I think NATO remained relevant and useful in containing threats that originated in Moscow. That is why I think Congress passed the legislation to make it so difficult for the U.S. to withdraw. I don't think that was charity, I think they still believe in its essential mission.
 
The discussion was around the SAVE Act, then it went down a tangent that specifically was focusing on the illegal issue.

There is a far greater chance that SAVE act fixes some if not most of those issues, then your claim of citizens being denied the right to vote.
 
You have an issue with older people? Far as I can tell they were critical in getting Trump elected.

You might not want to build a football team around "geriatrics" but they seem to make perfectly fine citizens to me.

I guess you were just running out of names to call people who disagree with Trump?
I think his point is about a “no kings” protest to free a tyrant like Maduro. The geriatric comment is probably incidental.
 
Once again, you do nothing but try and push a false narrative.just because they haven't been caught, doesn't mean it's not happening on a grand scale
Texas alone, has found thousands of illegal aliens on the voter rolls.
I can only imagine how many are on the voter rolls of the blue states
Judicial watch is constantly suing states for voter records and to force states to purge the voter rolls of people who shouldn't be on them
Since everyone is demanding sources from me but not themselves, I'll post one for you. Is this what you are referring to?


..."After running the SAVE cross-check, Texas’ investigation reportedly identified 2,724 possible noncitizens. Their voter files were then sent to local counties to be further reviewed."...

That means 2,754 possible non-citizens. Not confirmed. After review, 33 Have been referred to the AJ office for investigation. The Republican source is below.


But wait, there's more. https://www.texastribune.org/2026/02/13/save-voter-citizenship-tool-mistakes-confusion/

Rut row...looks like an investigation shows that the 2,754 is mostly a lie....So again, 33 cases have been referred for an investigation...remind me again, who has been in charge of the state of Texas for the past 30 years?

If a state-wide Texas election with 18 million registered voters has a margin of error of less than 33 votes, then maybe you have a point. Oh wait, maybe not, not all those 33 people actually voted :)
 
Personally could care less what Orban does that is for Hungary to deal with
Well, he was endorsed by Trump and I understand Vance and others are going over to try and help him get re-elected.

Kind of odd for the adminstration that suggested broadcasting tapes of Reagan speaking was inappropriate foreign interference.
 
Since everyone is demanding sources from me but not themselves, I'll post one for you. Is this what you are referring to?


..."After running the SAVE cross-check, Texas’ investigation reportedly identified 2,724 possible noncitizens. Their voter files were then sent to local counties to be further reviewed."...

That means 2,754 possible non-citizens. Not confirmed. After review, 33 Have been referred to the AJ office for investigation. The Republican source is below.


But wait, there's more. https://www.texastribune.org/2026/02/13/save-voter-citizenship-tool-mistakes-confusion/

Rut row...looks like an investigation shows that the 2,754 is mostly a lie....So again, 33 cases have been referred for an investigation...remind me again, who has been in charge of the state of Texas for the past 30 years?

If a state-wide Texas election with 18 million registered voters has a margin of error of less than 33 votes, then maybe you have a point. Oh wait, maybe not, not all those 33 people actually voted :)
Here's a good read Competing Claims on SAVE America Act Disenfranchising Voters
 
I think his point is about a “no kings” protest to free a tyrant like Maduro. The geriatric comment is probably incidental.
I don't feel strongly about Maduro one way or the other, but I never really thought being old was something that should be insulted or a pejorative. I try not to do that with young people either.
 
1. Republicans control all 3 branches of the federal government so stop trying to blame the dems for TSA agents not getting paid.

2. I've cited sources in the past but they're just ignored here, so why even bother? But bc you asked nicely, I'lll get you a few at the bottom.

3. Dissolve the DOE? WOW! You're even more liberal than I am. Even I don't advocate unilateral nuclear disarmament. You do realize that the Energy Department is in charge of the Nuke's right, via the Nat'l Nuclear Security Admin. Its more than half their budget in any given year. The DOE is also home to americas main research labs. As the US federal gov is the largest researcher in the world, I dont think that would bode well for our economy.

4. "If you own a business that has a number of employees who cost money to keep on payroll but have no substantial contribution to your businesses or are a liability to overall performance, you would fire them." If they weren't making money, than yes I would. My family has been in and out of self-employment since the 40s. But we don't fire people who make us money. My first job out of college was for a company that had recently been bought out by some private equity assholes. A few months later they laid-off three people in my department. The reason? They weren't making the company enough money. They were still profitable, but equity's net target return was between 15-17%, and their project was now below 10%. Not bc they were losing the Company money. P. Equity was so fucking greedy that 15% was their new minimum. In my grandfathers day a 9% net return would have been entirely reasonable. After I left, they raised their target to over 20%. These large multinational trillion dollar companies laying ppl off aren't loosing money buddy.

5. Government is also different. It's not about making money, its about providing services to its people. By your standards the military loses over $1.5 trillion a year. Ppl on the right don't seem to mind that. But the post office or Amtrak "loose" a couple hundred million, and they go ape-shit and demand layoffs.

6. You, like many seem to misunderstand where federal monies go. 85% of all federal dollars is Mandatory or Military discretionary spending. We could eliminate ALL non-defense discretionary spending and still have a deficit. These "bloated" programs and salaries and spending are mere rounding errors to other programs.

7. Democrats didnt bury this country in debt. Republicans did. Lets go through that then and we can save the medical discussion for later. Reagan takes over in 1981, the country is in 0.9 trillion in debt, after 10 years of Reaganomics the country is in 3.7 trillion in debt and climbing. Bush's daddy tries to reign in these uncontrollable deficits. His fellow republicans loose their mind about broken promises. But it wasnt enough, deficits continue. Until Clinton. One of the first bills they got passed in 1993 was a tax increase on the rich. Go watch old CSPAN videos of republicans coming to tears on the house floor talking about how bad these tax increase will be. And what happened? The largest, longest, continual economic expansion in the history of the republic. Tax increases on rich didn't hurt us at all. Within 5 years we had a balanced budget...due to increasing taxes on the rich. Enter the Bush administration. Bush got elected and immediately said that budget surplus were proof that the gov collected too much money (or maybe we should keep paying off debt with it), time for another tax cut for the rich...oh shit...here we go. He turned 100 billion+ surplus into a 100+ billion deficit within one year. Adjusted for inflation thats more that double in todays dollars.

8. The Reagan tax cuts were never paid for, the bush tax cuts were never paid for. And then he goes to war without paying for it. Remember why we had income taxes to begin with...TO PAY FOR OUR WAR EXPENSES! Previous presidents knew that, but somehow that escaped GW. So then he doubles down, and doubles down again. Another war in 2003 in Afghanistan not paid for, another round of tax cuts not paid for in 03, then another in 2005, and some more sprinkled throughout his admin. No child left behind, Medicare part D...etc. Then they crash the world economy with deregulation and dump a 1.4 trillion dollar budget deficit in Obama's lap. But somehow it's the Dems fault. Yeah ok. After 8 years the budget deficit under Obama is back down to $520 BIllion. Then Trump gets elected and in his first year doubles that to $1 trillion dollars. Why....because the 2017 tax cuts for the rich thats why!
And then things went downhill fast from there.

9. You see D and R are both financially irresponsible, but the Republicans are by an entire order of magnitude. Obama's big spending bill, the ACA? It actually Paid for itself through new taxes, even reduced the deficit by 15 billion per year. When Dems spend money they pay for it, when R's do it, its all deficit spending buddy. Remember what Dick Cheney once said..."Reagan proved that deficits don't matter"....well, they will soon enough.



1. An easy Google search will provide you with numerous sources that nearly universally label the DHS Funding shutdown as a Democrat shutdown while they fight for ICE reform as part of the deal. Regardless of WHY they are doing it, it is undeniable THAT it is the Democrats doing it. --- Don't try to blame Republicans when that is clearly false.

1b. It is the Legislative branch only that dictates this funding issue. I'm not smart enough to know what options the Executive or Judicial Branches have to go around Legislative on this issue, but it would be extremely limited, if at all possible. So that leave the Republican majority Legislative branch. But, guess what? There are only 53 Republicans in the Senate, and 60 votes are needed to pass this DHS funding bill, which therefor allows a minority of Democrats to be able to hold up the progress.

As an aside, and why I mentioned in my previous post the entire Senate and House should be gutted and rebuilt with all new members, I take great issue with the fact that our Democrats and Republicans are so polarized that they largely refuse to work together. I honestly don't see how this country survives another 100 years without some sort of Civil War or major event that brings the two sides back together. Living in extreme divisive viewpoints cannot endure forever.

2. thanks, I will review.

3. As noted in separate post above, I meant Department of Education, not Energy. --- A good example how different interpretations of reading the same thing is possible.

4. You referenced Trump firing Federal Employees as Illegal. None of that deals with "These large multinational trillion dollar companies laying ppl off aren't loosing money buddy". Apples and Oranges conversations. ... We agree that useless employees being fired is beneficial: I see the employees he fired as, largely, useless employees. If you disagree, then we can discuss why.

5. I'm not sure what this section is in reference to, as it relates to either your original post or my reply to you. I have no problem with providing services to American Citizens. The services you mentioned: Post office, Amtrak, defense spending, all good. There are many more services and programs that are absolutely necessary and/or beneficial that require funding. There are also numerous services and programs that are completely useless and by every single metric considered a waste of money. More of this on point 6 next.

6. I have no misunderstanding of where federal monies go. I have a problem with where it goes. Do a google search for "useless government programs" and tell me with a straight face we don't have a spending problem. Tell me honestly that you don't think that gutting government waste (which can be whatever programs and services you want to acknowledge as wasteful) would not be beneficial to reigning in our massive debt.

I would love for you and every other person who would describe "bloated programs and salaries and spending" as mere rounding errors to send me $100 in rounding error each month. I'll retire and have one hell of a hunting budget living off your cumulative ignorance.

7. "Democrats didnt bury this country in debt. Republicans did." -- Bullshit... Both Democrats and Republicans buried us in debt.

1774551529320.png


You want to use Clinton as your example of how its not Democrats fault? Fair enough. I agree from 1993-2000 were easily the "Best" years of minimizing debt growth. Let's add some context: in those years, the debt grew most, and grew every year, between 1993-1996, when democrats had controlled congress (both chambers) from '87-'94. It was split chambers in '95-96 at its high. Then it reduced from '98-2001 while Republicans controlled both houses for the end of Clinton's years and to start Bush Jr's term. One could make an argument from that factual data that it was the Republicans in house/senate that were responsible for the balanced budget.

I could also provide you a chart that shows the 2 most massive debt increases under a presidents tenure happened under Democrats FDR & Wilson (and also under democrat controlled congress both times). Both of these were over right around 790% debt growth. The next closest is Regan at 161% (split or Democrat controlled congress), then Bush Jr at 73% (split or Republican congress), and Barry at 64% (all 3 variations of congress). Those are the only Presidents that had a % debt change over 43% during their terms. *I do not have data for Trumps 2nd term (since he's in office!!!) yet. ---- If we do it by actual dollar amount, for quicker summary, we have Biden highest over $8.4T, Trump 45 at $7.8T, Barry $7.66T, Bush Jr $4.2T as your top 4 in dollars.

Data can be manipulated. I'm not making the argument that Republicans are not to blame for the deficit, but you absolutely cannot argue that Democrats "didn't do it."

8. See above. You see the data how you want to shape it to fit your narrative. I see it differently. neither of us will convince the other they are "wrong" - I will encourage you to at least see that it's not 100% or even anywhere close to a majority one way or the other; I very much have acknowledged that.

9. Nope, I repeat #7 & #8.


This will be my last reply, I've more than proven my points. Anything more is just wasting breath to say the same thing in a round. I see why @mdwest bowed out a couple pages back. he also proved his points, numerous times, and this discussion has advanced as much as the Senate has on a DHS funding bill.
 
I was going to explain that Presidents don't create deficits, because Congress creates budgets. And "Tax Cuts" affect revenue, not spending, and it's possible for revenue to go up, but spending to go higher.

I was going to explain total US Spending is about $10Trilion, and total US Defense spending is about $1.3 Trillion, which is a really strange way to get to about 85%. And that $1.3T breaks down as:
  • $877 billion was spent on national defense
  • $323 billion was spent on support for veterans
  • $71.9 billion was spent on foreign affairs
  • $25.9 billion was spent on immigration and border security
I was going to try and explain that when one says "Dissolve the DoE", they mean the Department of EDUCATION, not the Department of Energy. The issue with Education is despite all the money we've spent on this department, we don't seem to be improving anything.

There's so much more. But explaining this all is both tiring and boring. Not sure if Frosty came up with a new username or whatever, but it's easier to simply hit the ignore button.
Man, I spent so much time responding when you already had it covered....
 
but I think suggesting that NATO, as a group should have responsibilities in the Middle East would be some mission creep of epic proportions, and unsellable across Europe.

I think Rubio answered that today from Americas perspective. He said Europe didn’t come to help in the ME in our war. While we have funded the most to Ukraine and it is not our war it’s Europe’s war. (Paraphrased)

I’m certainly not saying it is sellable across Europe but I have a hunch that the 2% contribution to NATO Trump wanted eight years ago is going to look like a bargain. 5% will probably be a bargain in European budgets in 5-10 years.
 
My recollection is that the raison d'etre of NATO was to contain aggression from the USSR, and maybe to keep a close eye on Germany.

Now the USSR is no longer called the USSR but those folks are still pretty aggressive and still need some serious containing.

Personally I think Putin would be dancing a jig to see NATO come apart in some way.

What kind of refresh are you suggesting might work? I was pleased Trump got the countries to ante up a bunch more money for defence, but I think suggesting that NATO, as a group should have responsibilities in the Middle East would be some mission creep of epic proportions, and unsellable across Europe.

Other than the underfunding problem, until MAGA took a dislike to it, I think NATO remained relevant and useful in containing threats that originated in Moscow. That is why I think Congress passed the legislation to make it so difficult for the U.S. to withdraw. I don't think that was charity, I think they still believe in its essential mission.

Regarding the 2023 legislation that Congress passed making it harder for a President to withdraw from NATO. I could be mistaken but I would bet we have an “auto pen” case at SCOTUS prior to January 2029. I also don’t know how that case could be decided but if it favors Trump, we are probably reading the tea leaves now.
 
I think Rubio answered that today from Americas perspective. He said Europe didn’t come to help in the ME in our war. While we have funded the most to Ukraine and it is not our war it’s Europe’s war. (Paraphrased)

I’m certainly not saying it is sellable across Europe but I have a hunch that the 2% contribution to NATO Trump wanted eight years ago is going to look like a bargain. 5% will probably be a bargain in European budgets in 5-10 years.
Like I wrote before there are no articles in the Nato treaty that covers the current war in Iran, the treaty only applies to a collective defence and even though the US has been attacked by Iran through various proxies before the US did not took the oppurtunity to use that as a base for invoking article 5.

Perhaps if Trump wanted Nato to join he should have done like George W Bush or George HW Bush and taken the time to build a coalition before launching the attack.

If Trump and Rubio really believes that Nato should function as an offensive alliance rather then a defensive one perhaps they should asked for some sort of revision of the treaty?
 
Probably not good news for the continuance of NATO. At least in its current form.

I think Nato is more or less dead allready, or at least the idea of the US coming to europes aid...there seem to be a lot of allies believing that the US under Trump would not come to their aid regardless if the US are a member or not...or at least thats how it sounds in MSM in Europe. Perhaps the organization should be terminated and replaced with something new.
 
This will be my last reply, I've more than proven my points. Anything more is just wasting breath to say the same thing in a round. I see why @mdwest bowed out a couple pages back. he also proved his points, numerous times, and this discussion has advanced as much as the Senate has on a DHS funding bill.
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:D :D :D
 

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