Can't see that happening....and in the last few years including fairly recently Russia has pulled out of all military integration it had with certain European countries....
Yes, of course not happening with present political constellation, and war to conclude before.
As I said: Iron Curtain or North-South Korea post war is other scenario.
It is quite possible.
Now lets project this 20-30 years ahead.
Europe on green policies, without cheap energy imported from Russia, and with expensive workforce. This will make expensive market non-competitive product. (good example German car price vs Chinese car price)
On the other hand, Russia is not isolated, it looks like it has working economy and stable international market through BRICS.
I think BRICS by now covers more then half of the world population. More surprisingly some strong western allies and partners, have joined the BRICS, for example Saudi.
The status of Russian economy is hard to estimate, between the mainstream headlines.
But I used US dollar Russian Ruble ratio as a measuring stick.
And this is the overview:
This is AI generated, but I found similar figures on various online calculators;
- Pre-2022 (2020-Early 2022): The Ruble generally strengthened, with rates often in the 70s, even dipping to around 60 at times.
- March 2022 Spike: Following the invasion of Ukraine, the Ruble crashed, with the USD/RUB rate hitting an all-time high (over 100, peaking around 113-114).
- Mid-2022 to 2024: Aggressive capital controls and high energy prices helped the Ruble recover and stabilize, often in the 80-90 range.
- Late 2025: The Ruble strengthened considerably, reaching levels unseen since before the full-scale war (around 76-79) due to high oil revenues and strict financial measures.
Late 2025 status, gives final effect of western and EU sanctions.
Coming back to European eventual "iron curtain policy":
With that policy this will make Europe a touristic peninsula of Euroasian continent.
Its European choice.