Politics

No, they watched him kick the shit out of Isis and eased off.

I wouldn't say they watched, the Iranian backed militias in Iraq and Syria spilled a lot more blood fighting against ISIS than US personnel did. The IRGC was to the Popular Mobilization Forces, Christian militias, and Syrian militias what Defeat ISIS-Coalition SOF was to Iraqi SOF. The destruction of the ISIS caliphate could have been an opportunity for real dialogue between the US and Iran. Some hard truths would have came out on both sides, but we would be in a better position than we are now in my opinion.
 
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You appear to be more concerned with feathering your own nest than having any concern for the direction our country is headed, which is right down the toilet.
May you continue to make lots of money, as that is what you seem to find most important.
I think you skipped over the part where I said financially it does not really matter who is POTUS in regard to my businesses.
Secondly, my bottom line will not see a difference one way or another. Actually, I might end up paying a bit more in income taxes under Biden if he also increases capital gains tax.
 
@Tanks owns and operates a successful business in our capitalist system. He is a classic entrepreneur. He also has a lot of international investment experience. That gives him a unique economic perspective with regard to our two parties and presumptive nominees. Several other members currently hold or have held senior positions with successful enterprises with an international footprint. I think all, to a greater or lesser extent, have expressed concern about a Trump presidency. Rather than debate those concerns, the typical response is to employ name calling, or more recently pray for pitchforks and torches.

I personally believe that what happens with respect to Russian territorial ambitions, the chaos on our border, and the state of our economy are all critical national interests. Of the three, I frankly think Russia is the most important and represents the most dangerous long term threat. Second is the economy, though I trust most here realize this is a dynamic issue and not a stagnant one. Simply cutting spending solves nothing if the net effect is a reduction in GDP growth. I am confident most Republicans at the senate level get that, and thus it is very important that the senate flip republican this cycle. It should be easy, but because Trump is our nominee, it is likely to be very close. I doubt he has any coattails at all where the elections will be a tossup.

The border is more complex. We absolutely do need immigration. What I and I think most informed people understand is that an unregulated invasion by the least productive and most needy is not an immigration policy or program. The legislature has limited ability to affect control measures - the vast majority of those are in the hands of the Executive department. As we saw a few weeks ago, the house and senate were not even able to act in the interests of the country. The president matters.

But the president matters even more on the international stage. I am convinced Trump is capable of doing this country lasting generational harm in that realm. I will absolutely vote every republican down ticket and pray that we somehow hang onto the house - I personally think that unlikely - and retake the senate. Unless something changes dramatically, I will not vote for Donald Trump.

It seems to me that any criticism of Trump is met with one of two arguments:

1) don’t listen to what he says, that is not what he will really do, or

2) look how bad Biden is. A no vote is a vote for Biden.

I would really love to have Trump and his supporters present his foreign and domestic policy in a consistent and coherent manner. The sound bites are quite frankly alarming.

At this point I’ve been told; that he doesn’t want me to vote for him, Biden is a doddering fool (I agree), and I’m a complete idiot for not blindly supporting a man who continuously espouses policy I disagree with, and denigrates all who dare criticize or oppose him.
 
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So maybe a bit of devils advocate, but what I don't understand is people saying they don't have faith that Trump will be able to repeat his actions as president or America can not survive a Trump presidency. He did a good job, he is much saying the same stuff he did last time, so not sure how or why you think this one would be a disaster. And we survived once, and I think America is bigger/stronger than any one president. I do think some have been honest in saying they just don't like him and his personality and honestly it is your right to feel that way and not vote for him.

I am not a huge Trump supporter but I think his policies are pretty clear and straight forward.

Domestically - fix immigration, remove regulations, lower taxes, energy independence.

I do want to note here, that the way Biden and the democrats have handled Laken Riley's murder is a national traversity, we now have Venezuelan street gangs murdering people, and "grown ups in charge" are apologizing for the term illegal rather than undocumented.

Foreign - focus/weaken China/Iran, build up our military, don't be policeman, (also maybe make people think you are batshit crazy so they don't start something).

I also read a comment about real dialog with Iran, I believe that is more of a dream than having real dialog with Russia. You can't say Russia is bad and think that we could ever possibly in any way work with the current regime in Iran.
 
this is the absolute center of the issue...

hard core trump supporters love to scream about TDS.. but fail to recognize they are just as fanatically "for" (thereby just as deranged.. i.e. unable to think or act in a logical manner) as the opposition is "against".. the name calling is if nothing else hypocritical.. and hypocrites tend to not do a very good job at convincing others of the value of their position..

they fail to recognize that they are in fact NOT the majority of voters.. while they represent a substantial voting block, they are not by themselves 51% of the voting population.. and therefore CANNOT win the election no matter how much they shout and call names if they dont figure out a way to convince a fairly large segment of the population to change their position and get on board..

If the objective is singularly to get Trump back into office.. the way to do that is to present logical arguments based on factual evidence and make a purposeful attempt to get the attention of those not on board in a way that is not offensive, degrading, or otherwise upsetting to them.. otherwise youre no different than an old man shouting at clouds.. no one really cares about what you have to say... youre just a nuisance and an occasional cheap form of entertainment..

If the objective is to get rid of Biden (I think almost everyone on AH agrees that Biden is a horrible choice for leading the US).. the the easiest way to accomplish that is to either get Trump in line with the above (not likely..).. or, to select a candidate that not only the far right can accept, but one that the more centrist right and independents can accept..

We can talk about stolen elections, ballot harvesting, mail in votes, etc.. until we're all blue in the face.. but none of that is really relevant if Trump doesnt have no shit a full 51% of the voting population in the US hitting the polls and pulling the lever with his name on it in November.. if he only has 49% of the vote, then who cares how many dead people vote for Biden in addition to the 51% of the legal voters that pulled the lever for him? He's already won...

Trump telling R voters very specifically that he doesnt want their vote and they will never be accepted into his sub organization of the party in no way helps him get to 51%.. only 45% of US registered voters identify themselves as republicans... 44% of US registered voters identify themselves as democrats... that leaves 11% of the registered voters identifying themselves as either independents or members of the small (typically more left leaning) parties like the Green Party, Socialist Party, etc)...

Assume even 5% of declared Republicans refuse to vote for Trump.. that leaves an 11% deficit to make it to the Whitehouse.... does anyone really believe that ALL independents (again, understanding that most independents and members of small parties as a rule lean left... often times EXTREMELY LEFT) are going to get on the Trump train?

If not, what is the no shit plan for actually getting back into the Oval Office?

It would seem to me that if The Donald really wanted to attain his goal, he'd be doing everything he possibly could (as would his ardent followers) to behave in a way that compels the remainder of the party to get on board rather than alienate them...

Otherwise this is nothing more than a race to see which party has less of its membership actually show up in November.. rather than actually being excited about a candidate, we're electing the person that the other party was even less excited about than the other guy (not a very sound methodology for winning... to only hope not to be as much of a loser as the other people in the same race)..


Edited to Add...... I realize percentages of the population over simplifies how things really work.. the popular vote doesnt win the election.. the electoral college does.. so.. winning CA by a landslide for the D's really doesnt do them much more good than winning CA by just a few votes... winning TX by a landslide for the R's doesnt do them any better than winning by a few votes, etc. etc. (with the few states that can split their electoral votes being the exception)..

but the argument remains valid.. if you look at the disbursement of R voters, D voters, and I voters across the US.. losing 5% of R voters will result in the loss of key swing states that must be won to get the electoral votes required to win the whitehouse..
+1

TDS goes both ways. People are so entrenched on both sides. It blows me away that people would rather have Trump, with all his flaws, than Desantis with almost exactly the same policies but with more appeal to people who will never vote for Trump. Desantis was a real choice and it didn't happen. WTH?

I think what the dems did to Trump right from the start was horrible (Russia! Russia! Russia!) but that doesn't give him a pass for being stupid and saying outlandish unpresidential things over and over that turn a lot of people off. It seems he cannot learn from mistakes. He is incredibly block-headed.
 
TDS goes both ways. People are so entrenched on both sides. It blows me away that people would rather have Trump, with all his flaws, than Desantis with almost exactly the same policies but with more appeal to people who will never vote for Trump. Desantis was a real choice and it didn't happen. WTH?

This 100%! How does someone get indicted on felony charges and gets more popular? It is beyond bizarre.
 
You can't say Russia is bad and think that we could ever possibly in any way work with the current regime in Iran.

There's always an opportunity for dialogue (even with the Ayatollah, and Putin), it just takes people leaving their ego at the door and being realistic. Iran isn't as much of a force of chaos as we're often led to believe. There's a logos there.

In regards to Russia/ Ukraine I think the US should've stayed out of Ukrainian internal politics altogether, and even if Maidan would've went down the same way without US backing (highly unlikely), the breakaway Republics of the DPR and LPR should've just gotten recognition in the United Nations or at a minimum the Minsk Accords should have been better adhered to by all parties. The Republic of Georgia doesn't shell South Ossetia or Abkhazia, nor do they send police to round up dissidents in the middle of the night. Ukraine didn't need to shell and harass the DPR/ LPR movements the way they did from 2014-2022. And yes, the Ukrainian govt moved BMPs into the east before the "little green men" of Russia showed up to assist the separatists, they also employed Gestapo like tactics against the people in the East who were perceived to be counter to the Kiev government from 2014-2022. It's a tough region, and Right Sector essentially had a free pass for quite a while.

If political elements inside Ukraine wanted to overthrow Yanukovych in 2014.... fine, go for it. However, they also should have calculated the risk better. If they wanted to keep the DPR/LPR regions because of the industrial base (a valid concern), well this is where the EU and US could have come to the table with modern industrial investment packages for development in Lviv or other Western areas. It would've been an uneasy and shaky peace, but that is far superior to the war that is happening now, and again I'll point to South Ossetia and Abkhazia as an example of it working. You could even use Kosovo, which if you wanted to you could call a "Serbian breakaway Republic" that American troops carved out.

The long game in my mind is having as much leverage against China as possible. If, God forbid, we were ever in a shooting war with China I'd rather have the Iranians and Russians on our side or at a minimum neutral/ not harassing our logistics where they can.

If having an independent, or even Russian incorporated Donbass and Crimea can create the conditions for a new Russia/China split, and US/NATO and Russia are on the same side of that split, I'll take that all day. This isn't the first time Europe's borders have changed and it probably won't be the last.
 
The long game in my mind is having as much leverage against China as possible. If, God forbid, we were ever in a shooting war with China I'd rather have the Iranians and Russians on our side or at a minimum neutral/ not harassing our logistics where they can.

I'll also admit I don't think China has any intention of a shooting war with the US. If they "beat" us, I'm inclined to think it'll be through economics, slow degradation of US capabilities in manufacturing, industrial espionage, and building a united front to challenge the US dollar hegemony.
 
I am the last to deny that Trump has a LOT of deranged fanboys. I too think DeSantis would be a better choice.
But if you refuse to see that the charges being brought against Trump are politically motivated and recognize that they are gaining him a lot of sympathy, i got nothing for you.
 
No, we'll stay home (actually vote GOP down ballot, just not Trump) as Trump is on record for not wanting our vote or money.

BTW, if I weren't hearing you guys complain I'd have said economy is going great. My companies are breaking revenue records, stocks are skyrocketing, and my vendors are booked for months in advance. As a result, my employees got significant bonuses last year. Heck, I had to hire another engineering firm overseas to help out with non-Federal work. I ordered a 300 kW natural gas Cummins generator for a client the other day, 287 day backlog. It seems various sectors are doing well.

In fairness, I don't think Biden or Trump had anything to do with much of it. Things like gas prices or groceries, while visible aren't a big part of people's budgets (if it is, it is indicative of a bigger problem). Gas is much more expensive in CA than TX, that is due to CA taxes not Federal policy.

Houthis blocking Red Sea (for all practical purposes) will have more of an impact on pricing than anything a POTUS does.
I would disagree that it has nothing to do with Biden. Gas, food and most things are up everywhere and a lot of the blame goes to Biden's Executive Orders against pipelines and other energy issues. Energy prices make everything more expensive. Some of this is also due to the Ukraine War that started under Biden's watch.

Our business is booked 2-3 years in advance. Like you, my stocks are way up since my 2020 COVID buy-in. My Microsoft up 102.96%, Berkshire Hathaway up 96.28%, Apple up 51.85% and my ETFs are up 36%. My NVIDIA is up 219.46% just since a year ago. This has allowed me to keep hunting Africa but I get it (and Trump does as well) that a lot of people in the middle class and families with kids are definitely hurting. Thank God my kids are out of college and on their own because I cannot imagine feeding them now. I was running errands a couple days ago and grabbed a burger meal At Wendy's and it was almost $20!

Inflation has leveled off to some degree but that doesn't mean that prices are going back down to where they were when Trump was in office. Vehicle prices are through the roof. I'm driving a 2017 Ford truck and my wife a 2014 Cadillac SRX. Both have over 100,000 miles on them but I can't justify new vehicle prices right now even though we could afford one. It's nuts and I can see how families are struggling.
 
I'll also admit I don't think China has any intention of a shooting war with the US. If they "beat" us, I'm inclined to think it'll be through economics, slow degradation of US capabilities in manufacturing, industrial espionage, and building a united front to challenge the US dollar hegemony.
I think that China is waiting for us to have a "Suez Canal" moment.
 
The long game in my mind is having as much leverage against China as possible. If, God forbid, we were ever in a shooting war with China I'd rather have the Iranians and Russians on our side or at a minimum neutral/ not harassing our logistics where they can.

If having an independent, or even Russian incorporated Donbass and Crimea can create the conditions for a new Russia/China split, and US/NATO and Russia are on the same side of that split, I'll take that all day. This isn't the first time Europe's borders have changed and it probably won't be the last.

I agree with this 100%. I am more worried about the long game with China. I think there was a time where that alliance could have been formed but I think Russia is firmly in China's arms.

Unless China sees the weaken Russian state as an opportunity to take back some historic lands. Maybe that is a question for the group to get us off the US election, if China rolls into Russia, does the US/NATO pick a side. Does Russi even have the capabilities to put up a fight?
 
I agree with this 100%. I am more worried about the long game with China. I think there was a time where that alliance could have been formed but I think Russia is firmly in China's arms.

Unless China sees the weaken Russian state as an opportunity to take back some historic lands. Maybe that is a question for the group to get us off the US election, if China rolls into Russia, does the US/NATO pick a side. Does Russi even have the capabilities to put up a fight?
Do we?
 
China would likely get nuked, that was essentially the policy during the Cold War, I doubt it's any different now
This is a fair point, I think it is a bit different for Russia to threat Nukes against a country that doesn't have them vs a country that does.
 
I am the last to deny that Trump has a LOT of deranged fanboys. I too think DeSantis would be a better choice.
But if you refuse to see that the charges being brought against Trump are politically motivated and recognize that they are gaining him a lot of sympathy, i got nothing for you.
Not sure if this was directed at me or not but I think some of the charges are over the top while some have merit. Trump is on tape talking about Top Secret military plans and obstruction of justice for trying to get help to hide things at his estate. He incriminated himself. I also don't think he understood or cared about the laws mandating that sensitive notes and other correspondence, even written down by himself, are supposed to be turned over to the National Archives for safe keeping. Why he wanted to hang on to those things is beyond me. Hur says Biden did the same thing so he should be in trouble as well.
 
@Corey0372 I salute you for your post acknowledging that dialog between the US and Iran or Russia is possible. Of course it is. I fully agree with you. But there's not much money in dialog. Those who know nothing of the US involvement in Ukraine may want to watch the Netflix Docuseries "Turning Point...the bomb and the Cold War" I found it very informative and interesting. Shedding light on a time that I, as a youngster, believed was solely the fault of the evil USSR. My Russian friends at least know that they are bombarded with propaganda. For Americans: Russia is bad, and we are good. If only it was so simple. This war could be stopped. It would take willful effort on all sides. I am hopeful.......FWB
 
The classified documents issue with Biden, Pence and Trump is interesting. Senator's and VP’s have no executive authority to declassify an operation, event, or documents. Only the executive himself does.

So the media keeps regurgitating the same BS.

Pence and Biden were good little boys and turned the documents over.

The fact they turned them over does not negate the fact that they committed a felony by removing them in the first place.

There are many here that dealt with sensitive information and still do. It was pounded into our heads when we first learned the rules early In our careers. Then again for each operation, task or training with new equipment Etc.

When you go into a specific task oriented group you are almost threatened by the consequences of sharing anything. Then when you leave you sign a stack of documents. And they say in effect. You will go somewhere very bad for a very long time if you run your lips.

So we lowly peons in the military go to prison for talking about anything, let alone, taking a document and showing it around. Or having them piled up behind our corvette for crackheads to read.

My appraisal of this issue is Biden and Pence had zero right to take documents out of a skif and have them in their house. They are sworn to the same constitution and have zero additional rights under that constitution than I do.

The President on the other hand does have the authority to declassify. The legal issue he has, is if he shared it with people he shouldn’t have.

This whole classified documents issue should be about the larger issue. These three buffoons are the ones that got caught. Apparently it’s widely known that senator's, VP’s, and Presidents have been doing this for decades. An illegal act that an E-1 would go to prison for.
 
I will add that this issue is a small part of a larger, more serious issue. This is where “Drain the Swamp” type phrases come from. The commoners see this two levels of justice and it fuels a very dangerous, toxic venom towards anything in politics, Government and DC specifically.

This also feeds the Nationalism fire. This type of corruption and elitism vs peasants has been the root cause of most failed empires.

These are seeds of anarchy and our eventual downfall. Add in corrupt social media from many sources and it’s at the top of the list of things that will bring the country down before any invasion or nuclear weapons will.
 

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Business is the only way to fly. I'm headed to SA August 25. I'm hoping that business isn't an arm and a leg. If you don't mind, what airline and the cost for your trip. Mine will be convoluted. I'll be flying into the states to pick up my 416 Rigby as Thailand doesn't allow firearms (pay no attention to the daily shootings and killings) so I'll have 2 very long trips.
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I am interested in the Double
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Hi EGS

I read your thread with interest. Would you mind sending me that PDF? May I put it on my website?

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