You're correct,
@BTP-KennethWRoyce forward price in ten years of that trivial amount invested in SPY or QQQ in ten years is worth $83,000.
As to precious metals, I own a LOT of digital precious metals at present. I'm slowly closing those positions and buying physical when the spot premium is minimal to nil for numismatic quality gold/silver/platinum.
My calculations are that I'm about 5% net-worth in physical metals, 50% real estate, 45% equities. It is going to take me another five years to rebalance to 5% metals, 70% equities, 25% real estate.
Metals are useful for private transactions. They are a useful hedge against inflation. Silver/Platinum have tremendous volatility but aren't buy-and-hold commodities. Their biggest limitation is the outrageous collectibles tax if you need to sell them all at once and receive the 1099 from a dealer.
What I'd REALLY like to invest in is silverware. Really, really good vintage sterling silverware I believe is going to go way up as a collectible. People are melting down incredibly rare, high quality flatware for below spot price. If I'm wrong, I own silver at spot. If I'm correct, we'll wake up in 20 years as a society and say "what the hell have we done? We destroyed works of art that can never be replaced". I like any investment where it has an intrinsic value and a potential for a collector value as a double-dip investment potential.
Glad to learn that you're transitioning from digital metals to physical. I'm Finance BBA and thus no Luddite, but IMO, if you can't
hold it, do you really
own it? As you understand the private transaction utility of silver, don't forget to stock up on 90% silver U.S. coinage (especially dimes, at no extra premium, so far!). A 90% silver dime is worth nearly $5 now, and the smallest divisible unit.
Metals liquidation needn't involve 1099s etc if one doesn't sell too much to a single dealer at once.
"Think outside of the box" as they say....
I align with your valuing of vintage silverware. Coin dealers often take it in, paying melt value or even just under, and usually sending it on as scrap. You could try to interdict that at the dealers, or advertise as a silverware buyer. Many boomer estates are coming up, and their heirs (who no longer cook/dine in) will be dumping the family silver, but you know that already.
However, consider who will have to "
wake up in 20 years" to finally appreciate its collectible value?
Us? Many of us will be dead by then.
Our children and grandchildren?
Hmmmm, IF they emerge from the coming national and global depression with surplus capital intact for luxuries, maybe.
The elite? Perhaps, but they would seem to already have their nice silver services.
If your timing was as assured as buying German WWII guns/regalia in the 1950s, I'd be all over it.
That stuff went stratospheric in 25 years, partially because we had Boom times then.
I'm economically pessimistic today. We may disagree there.
Your 70% equities/25% real estate is 95% invested in "the system". You're taking quite a beta risk there, if only on exit liquidity. By the time you want "out" the doors out may be jammed up. I'd rec. increasing your metals by at least 2x.
Finally, nobody actually wants money for money's sake, but only for what money can buy. I.e., buy now/first what you'd spend the gold/silver/etc. on later, because those goods may not be a bargain (or readily available) later. I read of an example of boy's father, on Monday morning 8 December 1941, buying an extra set of tires. Which were very soon after rationed in the USA new WWII.
In summary, perhaps think more nitty-gritty. You've already got the orthodox investing well in hand.