I think he is missing a few things. Mainly the huge investments that the CCP has made in Thailand, Malaysia & Singapore and continues to make in each of those countries.Speaking of China, Peter Zeihan is doubling down on his prediction that China is in rapid decline and is in its final decade of being a cohesive nation. Here’s a video he just posted laying out his reasoning.
Those investments may make a difference in the CCPs ability to remain relevant, or they may be unsustainable without continued cash infusion. The belt and road ”investments“ they’ve made in places like sub-Saharan Africa are going to become write offs. I think once the Beijing gravy stops flowing, the leaders of those countries will dump China quickly.I think he is missing a few things. Mainly the huge investments that the CCP has made in Thailand, Malaysia & Singapore and continues to make in each of those countries.
In wartime, only an impenetrable idiot will report to the enemy about his losses and the effectiveness of enemy weapons. This applies to both Russians and non-Russians. And how well it turns out to hide is another question.Russia is a huge country and while their military is getting hit pretty hard from time to time they have the manpower and armament left over from the USSR to continue their little adventure in Ukraine for a long time unless there's some kind of political change in their country. They've had the time to prepare a defense in depth and without control of the air the Ukraine military or any other military in the world is going to struggle to defeat something like that.
The official Russian news on the damage to the sub was that it was minor, then it was a little more and probably at some point they will admit the boat is toast. The one thing consistent about Russians in the past and present, is their ability to lie about the obvious. Sometimes it's pretty comical.
Your MOD is going to send someone's son or husband in a T-62/64's to trade direct fire with Leopards, Challengers and the M1A2. That should work out almost as well as how the out-ranged Russian artillery is doing against 155mm howitzers, HIMARS, and M270's.In wartime, only an impenetrable idiot will report to the enemy about his losses and the effectiveness of enemy weapons. This applies to both Russians and non-Russians. And how well it turns out to hide is another question.
As for the stocks of Soviet weapons, the problem is that at that time the western direction was considered the most dangerous, and the main stocks were just there. And, after the collapse of the Soviet Union, they remained there, except for atomic weapons, of course.
Yeah and if Biden is re-elected, the administration will go more liberal without another election to worry about afterwards.I HOPE FBJ picks someone else as his 2024 running mate..
but my best guess is he just keeps Harris in place..
Truth be told, anyone he might replace her with would likely be a much greater threat to the republic if he were to either die in office, or they be anointed to replace him after a second term..
Biden wont go more to the center.. if he decides to pick a replacement VP he'll go much further out on the fringes.. I'd guess Newsome..
And, as we've seen from past conflicts involving dictatorial regimes, the most junior private through the most senior generals are impotent until they receive permission to do ANYTHING from the ruling party political hack(s). By the time they get permission, half their air corps or battalions are wiped out. Xi has no idea what he's facing if he makes the mistake of invading Taiwan.What may have been true about Chinese forces a decade ago is no longer valid. Many of their key assets and technologies are equal to, or more advanced than, their western rivals. The biggest potential advantage that the west has is that our forces, equipment and tactics have been tested in actual combat. The Chinese may have highly trained personnel, state of the art technology and great depth of resources, but no-one from the most junior private to the most senior generals, have combat experience.
While that may prove decisive, we underestimate their capability at our peril.
Your MOD is going to send someone's son or husband in a T-62/64's to trade direct fire with Leopards, Challengers and the M1A2. That should work out almost as well as how the out-ranged Russian artillery is doing against 155mm howitzers, HIMARS, and M270's.
Probably missed this over on RT - but losing a Kilo class submarine to a country without a navy - how is that possible? Do you think anyone had the nerve to tell Putin?
The Us Defense establishment, whose estimates are remarkably accurate for this sort of thing, now assesses Russia has sustained a quarter of a million casualties in 18 months of warfare. Counting DPR and Wagner, that includes 100k dead.
None of that is being reported in your media. But that truth will gradually become ever more apparent to your population. After all, Vlad not coming home eventually is noticed. It could be that your police state has so successfully curbed protest that all those mothers, fathers, and wives won't care. Then again, the ghosts of 1917 are never that far away are they?
Putin went to war thinking Ukraine would be Czechoslovakia of 1968 or Hungary of 1956. Instead of reducing NATO's presence, he has added Sweden and Finland to the coalition. NATO is now in marching distance of St. Petersburg and has direct line of sight over every naval facility of the Baltic Fleet. Kaliningrad has become a militarily unsupportable island in what is now a NATO sea. What a strategist this Putin fellow is.
Your government is now forced to turn to North Korea as a source of weapons and munitions. The likes of Solovyov believes you should emulate their 19th century existence.
My question is how much longer will obviously intelligent people like you condone this self-destructive bloody farce.
We didn't cover that aspect of the election rules in school- but it seems to me that the rules are state-by-state with each state have it's own rules for getting someone's name on the ballot. The problem is a primary could be won by Biden and the states votes are to go to him at the party's convention. If at the convention Biden withdraws from the nomination process, some states allow the electors to vote for someone else, while others have restrictions. Sometimes there needs to be a ballot that results in no one getting the needed amount then a second or third ballot, notwithstanding those issues, The party can nominate who eve they want as their candidate for president. So at the convention in Chicago, Biden could withdraw, someone could put forth the name of O'Bama or the guy from California or whoever. At some point the electors will be free to change their vote and could vote for the new candidate, making him/her the party's presidential candidate.Under the US system, when is the latest that Biden can pull out of the race and allow the Democrats some sort of process to replace him as their candidate?
That's my understanding, and nicely outlined. Assuming he's the nominee, I do think Joe would have to bow out as the superdelegates don't hold enough votes to make that change. But Joe's been a pawn for a while, so I could see this as a potential scenario. August wouldn't leave much time for a new nominee to be properly vetted, and the media would run the "we're finally saved" campaign - without a doubt.So at the convention in Chicago, Biden could withdraw, someone could put forth the name of O'Bama or the guy from California or whoever. At some point the electors will be free to change their vote and could vote for the new candidate, making him/her the party's presidential candidate